Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-05-04 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

VGK: 58.9%

ANA: 41.1%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.35

ANA: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • VGK at home vs ANA: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	1	1.11
1	ANA	16	1	0.88
2	VGK	13	0	0.41
2	ANA	13	0	0.70
3	VGK	15	3	1.91
3	ANA	23	2	1.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8