Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-05-06 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 57.1%

ANA: 42.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.11

ANA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • VGK at home vs ANA: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	4	0	0.06
1	ANA	19	0	1.03
2	VGK	13	0	0.73
2	ANA	13	1	1.18
3	VGK	15	1	1.36
3	ANA	9	2	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0