Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-05-10 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

ANA: 51.6%

VGK: 48.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.20

VGK: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • ANA at home vs VGK: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	0	0.79
1	VGK	6	0	0.75
2	ANA	16	0	0.93
2	VGK	11	0	0.50
3	ANA	10	0	0.60
3	VGK	8	1	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1