Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-05-12 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

Win Probability

VGK: 53.3%

ANA: 46.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.10

ANA: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • VGK at home vs ANA: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	21	4	2.30
1	ANA	13	1	0.76
2	VGK	11	0	0.55
2	ANA	20	1	0.97
3	VGK	17	1	1.13
3	ANA	20	0	0.95
4	VGK	1	0	0.01
4	ANA	1	0	0.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1