Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-05-14 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 53.5%

VGK: 46.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.18

VGK: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • ANA at home vs VGK: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	10	0	0.42
1	VGK	14	2	1.48
2	ANA	19	0	0.69
2	VGK	14	0	0.94
3	ANA	27	1	1.82
3	VGK	9	2	1.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1