Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-10-01 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM EDT

Win Probability

NYR: 38.5%

TBL: 61.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 1.26

TBL: 4.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs TBL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	TBL 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	TBL
2025-11-29	NYR 1 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-11-12	TBL 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	TBL
2025-04-17	NYR 4 - 0 TBL	NYR	NYR
2025-04-07	NYR 1 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-10-01 at 7:00 PM EDT.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.