Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-10-03 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 47.1%
MTL: 52.9%
Expected Goals
PIT: 1.79
MTL: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Arturs Silovs - 19-12-8 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | PIT | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.886 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 0.903 |
| GAA | 3.20 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • PIT at home vs MTL: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | PIT 4 - 3 MTL | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-20 | MTL 4 - 0 PIT | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-12-11 | PIT 2 - 4 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-12-12 | MTL 2 - 9 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-11-02 | PIT 3 - 1 MTL | PIT | PIT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-03 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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