Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-10-05 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:00 PM EDT

Win Probability

TBL: 50.6%

PHI: 49.4%

Expected Goals

TBL: 1.61

PHI: 4.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • TBL at home vs PHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	PHI 1 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2026-01-10	PHI 2 - 7 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-11-24	TBL 3 - 0 PHI	TBL	TBL
2025-03-17	TBL 2 - 0 PHI	TBL	TBL
2025-03-13	PHI 4 - 3 TBL	PHI	PHI

This game is scheduled for 2026-10-05 at 7:00 PM EDT.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.