Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2026-10-07 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:30 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 42.9%
PIT: 57.1%
Expected Goals
WSH: 1.37
PIT: 3.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
PIT
Arturs Silovs - 19-12-8 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | WSH | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.886 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | 0.869 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 3.20 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • WSH at home vs PIT: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | WSH 3 - 0 PIT | WSH | WSH |
| 2026-04-11 | PIT 3 - 6 WSH | WSH | PIT |
| 2025-11-06 | PIT 5 - 3 WSH | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-17 | PIT 5 - 2 WSH | PIT | WSH |
| 2025-02-22 | PIT 3 - 8 WSH | WSH | PIT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-07 at 7:30 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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