Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-10-08 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 52.1%
MIN: 47.9%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.28
MIN: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | TBL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.844 | 0.898 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TBL at home vs MIN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | TBL 6 - 3 MIN | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-03-03 | MIN 5 - 1 TBL | MIN | TBL |
| 2024-11-01 | MIN 5 - 3 TBL | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-24 | TBL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | TBL |
| 2024-01-18 | TBL 7 - 3 MIN | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-08 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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