Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-10-10 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:30 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 40.2%
TBL: 59.8%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.51
TBL: 3.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | NYI | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.969 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs TBL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | NYI 3 - 2 TBL | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-06 | TBL 0 - 2 NYI | NYI | TBL |
| 2025-12-02 | NYI 2 - 1 TBL | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-04-01 | NYI 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-29 | TBL 5 - 3 NYI | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-10 at 7:30 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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