Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-10-10 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:30 PM EDT

Win Probability

NYI: 40.2%

TBL: 59.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.50

TBL: 3.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs TBL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	NYI 3 - 2 TBL	NYI	NYI
2025-12-06	TBL 0 - 2 NYI	NYI	TBL
2025-12-02	NYI 2 - 1 TBL	NYI	NYI
2025-04-01	NYI 1 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-03-29	TBL 5 - 3 NYI	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-10-10 at 7:30 PM EDT.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.