Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-10-13 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres @ 6:30 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 45.5%
BUF: 54.5%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.43
BUF: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | MTL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.943 | 0.902 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • MTL at home vs BUF: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | BUF 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | BUF |
| 2026-05-16 | MTL 3 - 8 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-05-14 | BUF 3 - 6 MTL | MTL | BUF |
| 2026-05-12 | MTL 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-05-10 | MTL 6 - 2 BUF | MTL | MTL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-13 at 6:30 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.