Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-10-15 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 38.3%
PHI: 61.7%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.36
PHI: 3.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | DET | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.886 | 0.837 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DET at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | DET 6 - 3 PHI | DET | PHI |
| 2026-04-02 | PHI 2 - 4 DET | DET | PHI |
| 2026-03-28 | DET 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-01-21 | PHI 2 - 1 DET | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-18 | DET 6 - 4 PHI | DET | PHI |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-15 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.