New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-10-22 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 41.8%
NYR: 58.2%
Expected Goals
TOR: 1.27
NYR: 4.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | TOR | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.892 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • TOR at home vs NYR: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | TOR 4 - 3 NYR | TOR | NYR |
| 2026-03-05 | NYR 6 - 2 TOR | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-10-16 | TOR 2 - 1 NYR | TOR | NYR |
| 2025-03-20 | NYR 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | NYR |
| 2025-02-28 | NYR 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-22 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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