Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-10-23 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM MDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 51.4%
TBL: 48.6%
Expected Goals
COL: 1.69
TBL: 3.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | COL | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | 0.924 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs TBL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | TBL 4 - 2 COL | TBL | COL |
| 2025-11-04 | COL 3 - 2 TBL | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-25 | TBL 8 - 2 COL | TBL | COL |
| 2024-10-30 | COL 2 - 5 TBL | TBL | COL |
| 2024-02-15 | TBL 6 - 3 COL | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-23 at 7:00 PM MDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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