Buffalo Sabres at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2026-10-24 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 45.5%
BUF: 54.5%
Expected Goals
WSH: 1.95
BUF: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | WSH | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.949 | 0.400 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WSH at home vs BUF: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | WSH 6 - 2 BUF | WSH | BUF |
| 2026-03-12 | BUF 1 - 2 WSH | WSH | BUF |
| 2025-11-01 | BUF 4 - 3 WSH | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-30 | WSH 5 - 8 BUF | BUF | WSH |
| 2025-01-06 | BUF 4 - 3 WSH | BUF | WSH |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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