Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2026-10-24 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 5:00 PM MDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 52.7%
TOR: 47.3%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.32
TOR: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
| Stat | EDM | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.905 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.836 | 0.944 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs TOR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | EDM 2 - 5 TOR | TOR | EDM |
| 2025-12-13 | TOR 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-02-01 | EDM 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | EDM |
| 2024-11-16 | TOR 4 - 3 EDM | TOR | EDM |
| 2024-03-23 | TOR 6 - 3 EDM | TOR | EDM |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 5:00 PM MDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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