Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-11-14 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 58.4%
DET: 41.6%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.73
DET: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | TBL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.927 | 0.895 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • TBL at home vs DET: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | TBL 4 - 3 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-03-12 | TBL 4 - 1 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-28 | DET 3 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-17 | DET 2 - 1 TBL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-11 | TBL 3 - 4 DET | DET | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-14 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.