Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-12-09 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 6:30 PM CST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 51.5%
TOR: 48.5%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.78
TOR: 3.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
| Stat | DAL | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.905 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.964 | — |
| GAA | 2.57 | 3.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs TOR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | TOR 5 - 6 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-21 | DAL 5 - 1 TOR | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-01-14 | TOR 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-18 | DAL 3 - 5 TOR | TOR | DAL |
| 2024-02-07 | TOR 5 - 4 DAL | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-09 at 6:30 PM CST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.