Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-12-12 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 3:30 PM EST

Win Probability

TBL: 51.4%

PIT: 48.6%

Expected Goals

TBL: 1.63

PIT: 3.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • TBL at home vs PIT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	TBL 6 - 3 PIT	TBL	TBL
2026-01-13	PIT 1 - 2 TBL	TBL	PIT
2025-12-04	TBL 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	TBL
2025-03-25	TBL 6 - 1 PIT	TBL	TBL
2025-01-12	PIT 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-12 at 3:30 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.