Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-12-15 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM EST

Win Probability

PIT: 38.0%

TBL: 62.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 1.27

TBL: 4.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PIT at home vs TBL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	TBL 6 - 3 PIT	TBL	TBL
2026-01-13	PIT 1 - 2 TBL	TBL	PIT
2025-12-04	TBL 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	TBL
2025-03-25	TBL 6 - 1 PIT	TBL	TBL
2025-01-12	PIT 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-15 at 7:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.