Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-12-17 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 51.2%
CGY: 48.8%
Expected Goals
TBL: 1.58
CGY: 3.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | TBL | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.969 | 0.250 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TBL at home vs CGY: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | CGY 4 - 3 TBL | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-26 | TBL 5 - 1 CGY | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-02-27 | TBL 3 - 0 CGY | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-12 | CGY 3 - 8 TBL | TBL | CGY |
| 2024-03-07 | TBL 3 - 6 CGY | CGY | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-17 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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