Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-12-17 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames @ 7:00 PM EST

Win Probability

TBL: 51.2%

CGY: 48.8%

Expected Goals

TBL: 1.58

CGY: 3.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TBL at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	CGY 4 - 3 TBL	CGY	CGY
2025-11-26	TBL 5 - 1 CGY	TBL	TBL
2025-02-27	TBL 3 - 0 CGY	TBL	TBL
2024-12-12	CGY 3 - 8 TBL	TBL	CGY
2024-03-07	TBL 3 - 6 CGY	CGY	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-17 at 7:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.