Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2026-12-21 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals @ 2:00 PM EST

Win Probability

TOR: 40.9%

WSH: 59.1%

Expected Goals

TOR: 2.77

WSH: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • TOR at home vs WSH: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	TOR 0 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-12-18	WSH 4 - 0 TOR	WSH	WSH
2025-11-28	WSH 4 - 2 TOR	WSH	WSH
2024-12-28	TOR 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-12-06	TOR 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-21 at 2:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.