Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-12-26 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 6:00 PM EST

Win Probability

FLA: 37.8%

TBL: 62.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 1.96

TBL: 4.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • FLA at home vs TBL: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	TBL 6 - 1 FLA	TBL	TBL
2025-12-27	FLA 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-12-15	TBL 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	TBL
2025-11-15	FLA 1 - 3 TBL	TBL	FLA
2025-04-30	TBL 3 - 6 FLA	FLA	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-26 at 6:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.