Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2026-12-28 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 42.6%
EDM: 57.4%
Expected Goals
WSH: 1.94
EDM: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | WSH | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs EDM: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | EDM 6 - 5 WSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-19 | WSH 7 - 4 EDM | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-23 | WSH 7 - 3 EDM | WSH | EDM |
| 2025-01-21 | EDM 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | EDM |
| 2024-03-13 | EDM 7 - 2 WSH | EDM | EDM |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-28 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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