Washington Capitals at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-12-30 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders vs Washington Capitals @ 4:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 45.2%
WSH: 54.8%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.96
WSH: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | NYI | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.899 | 0.944 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYI at home vs WSH: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | WSH 4 - 1 NYI | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-30 | NYI 1 - 4 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-10-31 | WSH 1 - 3 NYI | NYI | WSH |
| 2025-10-11 | NYI 2 - 4 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-04-15 | NYI 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | NYI |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-30 at 4:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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