Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-12-31 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens @ 2:00 PM EST

Win Probability

TBL: 51.1%

MTL: 48.9%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.02

MTL: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 28% • TBL at home vs MTL: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-03	TBL 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	TBL
2026-05-01	MTL 0 - 1 TBL	TBL	MTL
2026-04-29	TBL 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	TBL
2026-04-26	MTL 2 - 3 TBL	TBL	MTL
2026-04-24	MTL 3 - 2 TBL	MTL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-31 at 2:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.