Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2027-01-16 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 38.6%
PIT: 61.4%
Expected Goals
TOR: 1.39
PIT: 3.43
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
PIT
Arturs Silovs - 19-12-8 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | TOR | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.886 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.600 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 3.20 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs PIT: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | TOR 6 - 3 PIT | TOR | PIT |
| 2025-11-29 | PIT 2 - 7 TOR | TOR | PIT |
| 2025-11-03 | TOR 4 - 3 PIT | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-03-02 | PIT 5 - 6 TOR | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-12-07 | PIT 5 - 2 TOR | PIT | PIT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-01-16 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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