Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2027-02-16 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 32.0%
CAR: 68.0%
Expected Goals
TOR: 0.68
CAR: 5.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | TOR | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.848 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs CAR: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | TOR 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-04 | CAR 1 - 5 TOR | TOR | CAR |
| 2025-11-09 | TOR 4 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-13 | CAR 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | CAR |
| 2025-02-22 | TOR 6 - 3 CAR | TOR | CAR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-02-16 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.