Washington Capitals at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2027-02-26 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 41.9%
WSH: 58.1%
Expected Goals
NYR: 1.46
WSH: 3.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | NYR | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.925 | 0.700 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs WSH: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | NYR 8 - 1 WSH | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-12-31 | WSH 6 - 3 NYR | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-23 | WSH 3 - 7 NYR | NYR | WSH |
| 2025-10-12 | NYR 0 - 1 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-05 | NYR 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | NYR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-02-26 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.