Utah Hockey Club at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2027-02-28 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Hockey Club @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 48.7%
UTA: 51.3%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.21
UTA: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | TBL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.881 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.907 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • TBL at home vs UTA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | TBL 2 - 0 UTA | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-02 | UTA 2 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-27 | TBL 8 - 0 UTA | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-22 | UTA 6 - 4 TBL | UTA | UTA |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-02-28 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.