Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2027-03-15 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 3:00 PM EDT

Win Probability

WSH: 37.9%

TBL: 62.1%

Expected Goals

WSH: 1.26

TBL: 4.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WSH at home vs TBL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-22	WSH 3 - 5 TBL	TBL	WSH
2025-11-08	TBL 3 - 2 WSH	TBL	TBL
2025-10-14	WSH 3 - 2 TBL	WSH	WSH
2025-03-01	WSH 1 - 3 TBL	TBL	WSH
2024-11-27	TBL 4 - 5 WSH	WSH	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2027-03-15 at 3:00 PM EDT.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.