Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2027-03-28 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals @ 6:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 40.9%
WSH: 59.1%
Expected Goals
TOR: 2.76
WSH: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | TOR | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.970 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • TOR at home vs WSH: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | TOR 0 - 4 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-18 | WSH 4 - 0 TOR | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-28 | WSH 4 - 2 TOR | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-28 | TOR 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-06 | TOR 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-03-28 at 6:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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