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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Feb 09, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens

Feb 09, 2025
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 54.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 13
Biggest swing 29.2 pp
Home time led 17.0%
Away time led 83.0%
The Flood (2-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.3%
183106:56goal0-152.3%
270110:28goal0-221.9%
373118:53goal1-253.0%
81200:00period-start1-243.1%
614201:05goal1-323.1%
689206:43goal1-44.5%
751212:45goal2-415.3%
509300:00period-start2-49.7%
954309:19goal3-427.3%
1154319:44goal3-53.2%
434320:00game-end3-53.1%