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2025-26 Season Live

Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Mar 06, 2025)

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Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 06, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 61.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 4
Biggest swing 26.1 pp
Home time led 78.3%
Away time led 21.7%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
157105:01goal1-068.5%
164105:17goal1-157.7%
171105:53goal2-169.2%
254108:20goal2-258.1%
365117:09goal2-344.6%
79200:00period-start2-338.8%
516200:58goal3-357.1%
678209:35goal3-438.0%
764212:40goal3-516.8%
824217:43goal4-533.2%
843218:46goal5-564.3%
406300:00period-start5-557.1%
882301:40goal6-583.5%
1023320:00game-end6-594.1%