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2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Mar 29, 2025)

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New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 29, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 51.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 58.3 pp
Home time led 99.6%
Away time led 0.4%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
10100:00period-start0-055.3%
74102:02goal1-068.3%
147107:31goal2-085.1%
400117:57goal3-094.3%
604200:00period-start3-093.3%
897219:43goal4-097.7%
756300:00period-start4-098.2%
1015305:58goal4-195.2%
1039307:47goal4-294.3%
1055308:47goal4-379.8%
1236319:46goal5-3100.0%
800320:00game-end5-397.9%