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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Apr 09, 2025)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 09, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 62.3%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 9
Biggest swing 49.2 pp
Home time led 19.2%
Away time led 80.8%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
10100:00period-start0-055.8%
63101:13goal0-141.5%
101103:33goal0-223.1%
433118:58goal1-244.6%
554200:00period-start1-244.2%
596300:00period-start1-232.3%
865300:50goal2-265.1%
886302:03goal2-340.4%
1100311:05goal3-361.6%
782400:00period-start3-363.1%
1312402:56goal3-411.6%
1351402:56game-end3-40.0%