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Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Mar 12, 2026)

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Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 12, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 59.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 40.7 pp
Home time led 100.0%
Away time led 0.0%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
9100:00period-start0-055.7%
320200:49goal1-076.1%
317200:00period-start0-058.4%
358320:00game-end4-199.0%
1050316:55goal4-198.6%
1044316:22goal3-197.7%
901307:05goal2-174.1%
851301:35goal2-093.4%
761300:00period-start1-080.6%