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2025-26 Season Live

San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Mar 15, 2026)

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San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators

Mar 15, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 73.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 19
Biggest swing 52.2 pp
Home time led 77.9%
Away time led 22.1%
The Flood (5+ straight)OTT
The Grip (entering P3)OTT — xG +2.0

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
250114:43goal1-256.4%
169107:33goal1-168.5%
91104:05goal0-138.3%
53100:00period-start0-055.3%
693214:45goal4-378.6%
679213:40goal3-364.9%
308210:46goal2-344.7%
562204:31goal2-264.2%
464200:00period-start1-247.1%
913320:00game-end7-499.3%
1082317:43goal7-499.1%
1048314:50goal6-497.9%
1027313:08goal5-488.6%
313303:28goal4-462.7%
783300:00period-start4-383.8%