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2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Mar 17, 2026)

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New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 17, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 57.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 1
Biggest swing 16.6 pp
Home time led 7.1%
Away time led 92.9%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.7%
114104:15goal0-141.1%
194109:43goal0-220.1%
448200:00period-start0-221.3%
605204:40goal1-225.6%
673211:57goal1-312.7%
803300:00period-start1-39.7%
762320:00game-end1-33.6%