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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Mar 21, 2026)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators

Mar 21, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 65.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 35.5 pp
Home time led 100.0%
Away time led 0.0%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
321114:58goal1-070.1%
54100:00period-start0-055.7%
845218:14goal3-191.5%
840217:53goal3-097.2%
202209:09goal2-086.2%
376320:00game-end5-298.8%
509200:00period-start1-076.8%
207313:11goal5-298.3%
1004309:41goal4-296.3%
702304:52goal3-285.9%
877300:00period-start3-191.2%