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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers Win Probability Chart (Mar 21, 2026)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers

Mar 21, 2026
Edmonton Oilers pregame win prob 58.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 21
Biggest swing 71.1 pp
Home time led 44.6%
Away time led 55.4%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
370119:37goal1-066.7%
54100:00period-start0-055.7%
873216:58goal1-310.1%
812212:13goal1-232.7%
551201:37goal1-147.3%
386200:00period-start1-071.6%
467320:00game-end2-50.8%
1175319:28goal2-51.1%
1121315:32goal2-44.7%
552307:16goal2-325.5%
915300:00period-start1-39.6%