Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames Win Probability Chart (Mar 22, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames pregame win prob
47.5%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
14
Biggest swing
54.2 pp
Home time led
79.4%
Away time led
20.6%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335 | 1 | 16:52 | goal | 2-1 | 65.6% |
| 330 | 1 | 16:25 | goal | 1-1 | 53.8% |
| 146 | 1 | 07:25 | goal | 0-1 | 36.8% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.5% |
| 638 | 2 | 11:47 | goal | 3-2 | 70.7% |
| 591 | 2 | 08:28 | goal | 3-1 | 85.2% |
| 384 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 71.3% |
| 1023 | 3 | 15:40 | goal | 3-3 | 31.5% |
| 806 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-2 | 81.0% |
| 428 | 4 | 00:26 | game-end | 4-3 | 89.0% |
| 1099 | 4 | 00:26 | goal | 4-3 | 100.0% |
| 423 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 56.9% |