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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames Win Probability Chart (Mar 22, 2026)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames

Mar 22, 2026
Calgary Flames pregame win prob 60.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 8
Biggest swing 49.6 pp
Home time led 81.4%
Away time led 18.6%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
335116:52goal2-167.7%
330116:25goal1-155.2%
146107:25goal0-139.8%
54100:00period-start0-055.7%
638211:47goal3-262.3%
591208:28goal3-183.2%
384200:00period-start2-172.4%
1023315:40goal3-338.1%
806300:00period-start3-280.3%
428400:26game-end4-389.6%
1099400:26goal4-3100.0%
423400:00period-start3-356.3%