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2025-26 Season Live

Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Mar 24, 2026)

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Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 52.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 8
Biggest swing 33.1 pp
Home time led 44.4%
Away time led 55.6%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.4%
201102:28goal0-138.4%
581118:49goal0-222.8%
660200:00period-start0-222.4%
736205:45goal1-237.6%
793209:51goal1-316.2%
823212:27goal2-337.3%
861215:19goal3-370.0%
916300:00period-start3-362.5%
1196317:07goal4-392.1%
1229318:42goal5-398.8%
202319:36goal6-398.7%
287320:00game-end6-399.2%