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Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Mar 28, 2026)

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Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights

Mar 28, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 67.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 13
Biggest swing 25.1 pp
Home time led 63.8%
Away time led 36.2%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
183106:06goal0-130.2%
52100:00period-start0-055.2%
717213:18goal3-353.5%
260211:03goal2-321.1%
683210:38goal1-317.8%
629206:49goal0-34.3%
466201:55goal0-221.7%
439200:00period-start0-138.7%
950308:54goal4-458.4%
825300:31goal4-378.4%
824300:00period-start3-354.6%
1112400:00period-start4-456.8%
105500:00goal4-454.6%
527500:00period-start4-454.6%
532500:00game-end4-454.6%