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Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Mar 28, 2026)

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Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights

Mar 28, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 55.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 19
Biggest swing 25.9 pp
Home time led 62.9%
Away time led 37.1%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
183106:06goal0-128.9%
52100:00period-start0-055.4%
717213:18goal3-356.3%
260211:03goal2-321.0%
683210:38goal1-316.6%
629206:49goal0-33.6%
466201:55goal0-218.8%
439200:00period-start0-138.1%
950308:54goal4-459.8%
825300:31goal4-376.0%
824300:00period-start3-354.4%
1112400:00period-start4-458.7%
105500:00goal4-454.4%
527500:00period-start4-454.4%
532500:00game-end4-454.4%