Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Mar 28, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob
64.0%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
13
Biggest swing
27.2 pp
Home time led
63.8%
Away time led
36.2%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183 | 1 | 06:06 | goal | 0-1 | 30.3% |
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.2% |
| 717 | 2 | 13:18 | goal | 3-3 | 54.3% |
| 260 | 2 | 11:03 | goal | 2-3 | 21.1% |
| 683 | 2 | 10:38 | goal | 1-3 | 18.5% |
| 629 | 2 | 06:49 | goal | 0-3 | 4.3% |
| 466 | 2 | 01:55 | goal | 0-2 | 21.3% |
| 439 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-1 | 38.8% |
| 950 | 3 | 08:54 | goal | 4-4 | 54.7% |
| 825 | 3 | 00:31 | goal | 4-3 | 78.7% |
| 824 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 54.3% |
| 1112 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-4 | 53.3% |
| 105 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 4-4 | 54.3% |
| 527 | 5 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-4 | 54.3% |
| 532 | 5 | 00:00 | game-end | 4-4 | 54.3% |