Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Apr 02, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
58.6%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
5
Biggest swing
52.4 pp
Home time led
93.9%
Away time led
6.1%
The Flood (5+ straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412 | 1 | 16:10 | goal | 1-2 | 52.0% |
| 251 | 1 | 07:01 | goal | 1-1 | 71.9% |
| 113 | 1 | 05:06 | goal | 1-0 | 69.8% |
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.2% |
| 811 | 2 | 19:05 | goal | 4-2 | 91.0% |
| 744 | 2 | 14:08 | goal | 3-2 | 77.5% |
| 566 | 2 | 00:11 | goal | 2-2 | 65.6% |
| 479 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 6-3 | 99.1% |
| 565 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-2 | 46.8% |
| 1138 | 3 | 19:58 | goal | 6-3 | 99.3% |
| 1087 | 3 | 15:33 | goal | 6-2 | 99.6% |
| 1062 | 3 | 13:50 | goal | 5-2 | 98.8% |
| 826 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-2 | 91.5% |