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Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Win Probability Chart (Apr 04, 2026)

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Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

Apr 04, 2026
Edmonton Oilers pregame win prob 51.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 24.6 pp
Home time led 20.6%
Away time led 79.4%
The Flood (3-straight)VGK

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.2%
267111:43goal0-152.5%
439200:00period-start0-147.3%
615205:44goal0-217.3%
651208:05goal0-34.2%
842219:26goal1-39.7%
856300:00period-start1-310.6%
904304:04goal1-41.5%
1105316:13goal1-50.7%
562320:00game-end1-50.6%