Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Apr 07, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob
62.3%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
0
Biggest swing
18.6 pp
Home time led
100.0%
Away time led
0.0%
The Flood (5+ straight)OTT
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.5% |
| 438 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 71.9% |
| 688 | 2 | 15:46 | goal | 1-0 | 82.3% |
| 721 | 2 | 18:23 | goal | 1-1 | 71.1% |
| 754 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 71.1% |
| 799 | 3 | 02:45 | goal | 2-1 | 85.2% |
| 210 | 3 | 04:39 | goal | 3-1 | 94.8% |
| 914 | 3 | 10:35 | goal | 3-2 | 88.5% |
| 953 | 3 | 12:51 | goal | 4-2 | 97.6% |
| 959 | 3 | 13:04 | goal | 5-2 | 98.7% |
| 1006 | 3 | 16:41 | goal | 6-2 | 99.6% |
| 480 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 6-2 | 99.6% |