🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live

Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Apr 21, 2026)

In-Game Dashboard

Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 21, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 47.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 75
Biggest swing 46.1 pp
Home time led 38.7%
Away time led 61.3%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
441116:11goal1-154.5%
245108:40goal1-055.7%
52100:00period-start0-055.6%
970218:36goal1-223.4%
513200:00period-start1-155.6%
1221312:33goal2-243.9%
996300:00period-start1-226.1%
1106412:48game-end3-284.2%
1503412:48goal3-286.2%
1341400:00period-start2-244.3%