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2025-26 Season Live

Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (May 03, 2026)

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Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

May 03, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 58.3%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 5
Biggest swing 39.3 pp
Home time led 59.9%
Away time led 40.1%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
411118:39goal0-147.1%
52100:00period-start0-055.5%
698213:27goal1-171.3%
447200:00period-start0-145.9%
580320:00game-end1-212.9%
1051311:07goal1-234.2%
795300:00period-start1-168.0%